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香港嶺南大學姚羽欣:性别比與初婚年齡:來自中國的一胎半生育政策的證據

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姚羽欣

香港嶺南大學經濟系 訪問助理教授(Visiting Assistant Professor)、荷蘭蒂爾堡大學(Tilburg University)博士。

姚羽欣博士的2006年中國人民大學學士,2012年美國密歇根大學博士。研究領域包括實驗經濟學,行為經濟學,博弈論和市場機制設計。2006年中國人民大學學士,2012年美國密歇根大學博士。研究領域包括實驗經濟學,行為經濟學,博弈論和市場機制設計。研究領域包括Labor Economics, Applied Econometrics, Economics of Education, Demographic Economics。姚博士的研究成果發表在國際著名期刊Economics of Education Review,Labour Economics。姚博士将與我們分享最新的經濟學研究方法,尤其是勞動經濟學的研究範式,如同群效應研究。

講座時間:2018年6月7日(周四)上午10:00-11:30pm

講座題目:

英文:Sex Ratio and Timing of the First Marriage: Evidence from the One-and-A-Half-Children Policy in China

中文:性别比與初婚年齡:來自中國的一胎半生育政策的證據

Abstract

This paper studies how sex imbalance in the marriage market affects the timing of the first marriage. As a major relaxation of the one-child policy in China during the 1980s, the “one-and-a-half-children” policy was implemented to allow extra births, conditional on the gender of the first child. Rural residents are allowed to have a second child only if the first child is female. Due to the stronger son preference at higher order births, this policy change increases the incentive of parents to have male children rather than female children and conduct sex-selective abortions. Thus, this led to a male-biased sex ratio at birth in the 1980s and an excess supply of males in marriage market after 2000. Based on data from China Family Panel Studies 2014 and the Chinese Census 2000, I estimate the effect of sex ratio on the timing of the first marriage by exploiting the exogenous variation of the policy implementation across regions and cohorts. From a difference-in-difference approach with mixture proportional hazard models, I find that the first marriage is significantly delayed in regions with a high sex ratio. The delaying effects are significant for both males and females, though less significant and smaller for females. The fact that females also delay the first marriage is because they set a higher reservation wage in response to an excess supply of males in the marriage market.

發表記錄:

1. Educational Consequences of Language Proficiency on Young Children(with Asako Ohinata and Jan van Ours),Economics of Education Review, 2016 (54), 1-15.

2. Language Skills and Labor Market Performance of Immigrants in the Netherlands(with Jan van Ours),Labour Economics, 2015 (34), 76-85.