學術報告題目：Multiplicative Structural Decomposition Analysis of Aggregate Embodied Energy/Emission Intensities

報告人：蘇斌 博士, 新加坡國立大學 能源研究所 高級研究員

主持人：謝銳  副教授  3044永利集团

時間：2018年3月27日（周二）上午8:30-10:30

地點：77779193永利财院校區行政樓713

Aggregate intensity indicators, such as the ratio of a country's energy and emissions to its GDP, are often used by researchers and policymakers to study energy and environmental performance. This paper shows the relationship between energy (or emissions) and value added (or GDP) from a different viewpoint, namely from the demand rather than the production perspective, using the input–output (I–O) framework. The aggregate embodied intensity (AEI), defined as the ratio of embodied energy (or emissions) to embodied value added, can be defined at the aggregate, final demand category and sectoral levels. The total aggregate intensity can be presented as a weighted sum of the AEIs at the final demand category or sectoral level. Changes of the AEI at different levels can be decomposed to identify the driving forces using multiplicative SDA. China’s 2007-2012 I-O and energy/emissions dataset are used in the empirical study. The proposed framework can be applied to other aggregate intensity indicators and extended to multi-country/region analysis.

蘇斌 (Dr. Su Bin) 是新加坡國立大學能源研究所高級研究員，能源與環境研究中心副主任，能源系統建模團隊負責人，同時擔任新加坡節能和低碳路徑發展研究項目總負責人。主要研究領域為能源和環境經濟與政策、能源與氣候變化、能源環境系統建模和分析，在能源和環境相關的國際期刊上已發表50多篇文章，研究工作被引用超過2000次。現任Energy Economics (SSCI) 期刊副主編，Applied Energy (SCI) 期刊客座主編，Reports on Economics and Finance 期刊編委，《環境經濟研究》期刊編委，以及50多個國際期刊審稿人，包括Nature Climate Change，Nature Communication和PNAS等。在新加坡主持和參與過近二十項能源環境相關的政府研究項目，獲得新加坡環境與水資源部、貿易與工業部、外交部、國家環境署、經濟發展局、能源市場管理局、海運和港口管理局、氣候變化秘書處、國家研究基金會等政府部門資金支持。